India Meteorological Department's Seasonal Outlook for April to June 2024

Summary and Important Points:

Above Normal Temperatures Expected: IMD predicts above normal maximum temperatures across most parts of India, particularly in central India and western peninsular India.
Cooler Regions Identified: Normal to below normal maximum temperatures might prevail in parts of the western Himalayan region, northeastern states, and north Odisha.
April 2024 Specifics: For April, the forecast anticipates above-normal maximum temperatures for most of the country, with some exceptions in the east, northeast, and northwest.
Heatwave Days: An increase in above normal heatwave days is likely during the hot weather season, especially in south peninsula, central India, east India, and the plains of northwest India.
Rainfall Outlook for April: The country's rainfall is expected to be normal (88-112% of the Long Period Average), with varied distribution across different regions.

Additional Information:

El Niño to ENSO-Neutral Transition: A shift from El Niño conditions to ENSO-neutral is expected by April-June 2024, with a favor towards La Niña by June-August 2024.
Health Risks from Heatwaves: Elevated temperatures from heatwaves pose significant health risks, especially to vulnerable populations. Authorities are advised to provide cooling centers, issue heat advisories, and implement urban heat island mitigation strategies.
Preparedness Measures: The NDMA, along with ministries of Jal Shakti, Agriculture, Health, and Power, are taking measures to mitigate heatwave effects. This includes workshops, advisories, and awareness campaigns.

Examination Perspective and Concise Points for Use:

Understand the impact of temperature changes on agriculture, health, and urban planning.
Recognize the importance of adapting to climate variability and extreme weather events.
Acknowledge the role of El Niño and La Niña in influencing weather patterns.

Key Words to Remember:

Released On : 01 April 2024

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